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US midterms today: what Congress control could mean for Trump's agenda

By Naija Breaking Newsroom2 min read
The gist
  • Americans vote in midterm elections on November 3, with control of the House and Senate at stake.
  • President Donald Trump has rolled back federal diversity, equity and inclusion programmes and affirmative action requirements for contractors.
  • Historically the president's party loses House seats in most midterms, and a Democratic win would sharpen oversight of the White House.

Americans go to the polls today, November 3, for midterm elections that will decide who controls the House of Representatives and the Senate for the second half of President Donald Trump's term.

The vote does not change who sits in the White House, but it decides how much of the president's agenda can pass, and how closely his administration is watched.

For Nigerians with family, business or study plans tied to the United States, the result could shape visa and immigration debates, trade posture and the tone of Washington's engagement with Africa.

Why this midterm matters

Since returning to office, Trump has moved aggressively against diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) programmes. In a special analysis for Leadership, Osmund Agbo wrote that the administration has rescinded federal affirmative action requirements for government contractors, dismantled DEI programmes across federal agencies and pushed measures meant to discourage similar schemes in the private sector.

Supporters call these steps a return to merit and equal treatment. Critics say they roll back safeguards built to widen access to education, jobs, government contracts and leadership positions.

That is why control of Congress carries weight. A Democratic House would gain leverage to investigate the administration and slow or reshape its legislative plans. If Democrats also take the Senate, their say over legislation and presidential appointments grows further. If Republicans hold both chambers, the White House gets a freer run.

Congress alone cannot restore affirmative action or cancel every executive action. The courts, existing laws and presidential authority still matter. But Congress decides which bills get heard, which executive actions face scrutiny and which nominations move.

History favours the opposition. Agbo noted that since 1938, the president's party has lost House seats in 20 of 22 midterms. Barack Obama's Democrats lost 63 House seats in 2010, and Republicans lost 41 in 2018 under Trump's first term.

What happens next

Results will settle the balance of power in Washington and set the pace of oversight of the Trump administration until the next presidential election. For voters at home and abroad, the outcome will shape which policies on opportunity, representation and immigration get a hearing.

Sources

This story draws on reporting by:

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